Maidan Community Sector, Lviv: Dear friends!
November 11 – German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier has expressed the view that the situation on Ukrainian-Russian border could soon escalate. “The situation on Ukrainian-Russian border indicates that the parties might be again preparing for violent confrontation. This must be prevented”, – he said.
November 11 – Russian military equipment – approximately 7 units, mostly trucks and boats on trailers – were noticed in the queue to cross Kerch Strait.
November 11 – 5 soldiers were killed and 10 wounded in the last 24 hours, – informed NSDC spokesman Andriy Lysenko.
November 11 – Ukraine is unhappy that some members of the OSCE’s special mission to Donbas have been disclosing information about Ukrainian military deployment, – said NSDC spokesman Andriy Lysenko. OSCE mission includes many Russian citizens and the citizens of allied states, and thus this organization cannot be classified as impartial, as proved by recent events.
November 11 – Russian terrorists have attacked ATO positions 30 times during the day. 4 military were injured.
November 11 – Permanent Representative of Ukraine to the UN Yuriy Sergeyev believes that Russia is preparing a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
November 11 – Russia is transferring nuclear weapons delivery units to Crimea, – said in a Reuters interview with, said Supreme Allied Commander Europe of NATO Allied Command Operations Philip Breedlove. “Whether they are (nuclear) or not, we do not know”, – he said. According to Breedlove, the number of Russian troops inside east Ukraine who were helping and training rebel forces to use sophisticated weaponry had probably risen. “Violence continues to increase day by day”, he said. What was NATO expecting from Putin – a transfer of Christmas gifts maybe?
November 11 – Political scientist Taras Berezovets thinks that Russia may start “an enforcement of Ukraine to peace” or carry on “an economic war.”
He pictures three possible scenarios as follows:
“Scenario No. 1: Widespread military activities in the Donbas area during winter-spring will not take place. At the same time, the shooting at Ukrainian forces of ATO will continue as well as shootings in the residential quarters. Russia fortifies their terrorists with new forms of artillery, carries out a re-education of the gang formations by their own instructors,” writes Berezovets. ” Russian mercernaries and the Crimeans called to serve are transferred into the region. Russia continues to destroy the Donbas infrastructure. The humanitarian catastrophe in the region heightens and the flow of refugees grows. Russia continues the economic war, using the shutting of gas to exarcebate the situation,” he adds.
Scenario No.2, according to Berezovets, involves an attack of the ATO forces in Donbas in the nearest weeks.
“Russian soldiers, except for specially delegated units, do not take part in the attck. Russia’s goal – through “cannon” fodder from the fighters to weaken the basic forces of the Ukrainian Army and battalions,” writes the political scientist.
“In case of achieving the set goals – to organize provocations with terror attacks on Russian territory or to shoot at the residential areas of the Russians in order to make it possible to attribute the blame to the Ukrainian side. The groupings in Crimea perform the task of averting Ukrainian forces, on-going fighting is not carried on in the south. Further events develop according to the Osetian scenario: an unannounced entry into Donbas of Russian “peacekeepers” with the goal of “enforcing peace.”
“Scenarioo No.3. Fighter forces begin combat according to Scenario No.2, followed by the entry of “peacekeeping forces.” The only variation from the previous scenario lies in the fact that besides Donbas, there is combat developing in the southern part of the country; arising in Crimea,” notes Berezovets.
