British Ministry of Defence noted on September 17, 2022, that the Ukrainian army continued its offensive in the northeast of the country. However, it is not yet known whether Russian troops have enough forces to defend and counter the Ukrainian military in the Luhansk region (east of Ukraine).
Source: British Ministry of Defence
“Ukraine continues offensive operations in the northeast of the country while Russian forces have established a defensive line between the Oskil River and the town of Svatove. Russia likely sees maintaining control of this zone as important because it is transited by one of the few main resupply routes Russia still controls from the Belgorod region of Russia.”
Experts also note that the mentioned line of defence runs along the border of the Luhansk region, which Russia seeks to “liberate” as one of its immediate military goals.
“Any substantial loss of territory in Luhansk will unambiguously undermine Russia’s strategy.”
Moscow is likely to try to maintain a defence in the Svatovo area in the Luhansk region. Intelligence officials point out that it isn’t clear whether Russian forces are equipped with sufficient reserves or morale to resist another coordinated Ukrainian offensive.