: :inin Kyiv (EET)

Maintaining Perspective About Adversaries


By George Friedman
The United States has difficulty evaluating the threat posed by adversaries. Before World War II the U.S. massively underestimated the Japanese. In Vietnam, the U.S. underestimated both the resiliency and will of North Vietnam. In Iraq, the U.S. underestimated the response to the destruction of Saddam Hussein’s regime. In each case, the U.S. assumed that the adversary viewed our strength the same way we did. More precisely, the U.S. believed that having viewed our strength, adversaries would not be able to identify our vulnerabilities.
The U.S. sometimes vastly overestimates its adversary. World War II wrecked the Soviet Union and …read more

Source: Geopolitical Futures

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