: :inin Kyiv (EET)

Armed Conflict in 2017 Part Three: 2018 Forecasts for the Rohingya Crisis and Ukraine.

Predicting the future trajectory of armed conflict is a notoriously difficult task, even when limited to a period of only one year. Events internal to a country are capable of producing unwelcome surprises: in the DRC we have witnessed the Kasai region plummet into horrendous violence that began over the matter of a local succession, at a time when attention was focused on the volatile east. The foreign policy of a global or regional power can also produce a major change: in Syria the Assad regime had been struggling until Iran and Russia intervened to ensure the regime’s survival. Nothing …read more

Source: Conflict Analysis and Resolution Information Services

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