: :inin Kyiv (EET)

How Likely Is an Irrational US Presidential Order to Use Nuclear Weapons?


Nagasaki bomb, via WikipediaBESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 417, March 5, 2017
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: There is no scientifically valid way to predict US presidential irrationality. Nor is there any analytically acceptable way for an American president to foretell the nuclear outcomes of any considered policy decision. There is another, less frequently considered possibility that is just as impossible to predict: that President Trump could refuse to follow through on deterrent threats, thereby allowing assorted Russian aggressions – including those that might involve Israel.
Back in 1976, I was a young professor of political science researching a new book on nuclear strategy and …read more

Source: Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

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