In the United States as in Europe, the dictatorship of immediacy, combined with the preference for conceptual analyses have brought about a real failure of anticipation. The World in 2030, published by the National Intelligence Council [LINK], has been unable, for example, to imagine the world within 15 years. The reason is simple: this report has widely neglected cultural and political weak signals in favour of a flawed statistical approach. As if the world could merely be understood by the simple use of economic indicators. In fact, the world will be very different from the predictions of the CIA. …read more
Source: The Huffington Post