: :inin Kyiv (EET)

Section: Geopolitical Futures (USA)

    Watch List: April 25, 2017
    Apr25

    Watch List: April 25, 2017

    The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance. Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our...

    The Geopolitics of Nuclear Weapons
    Apr24

    The Geopolitics of Nuclear Weapons

    Originally produced on April 17, 2017 for Mauldin Economics, LLC By George Friedman, Xander Snyder and Cheyenne Ligon Nuclear bombs have a strange quality: They are a type of weapon that countries spend enormous sums of money to develop but don’t actually intend to use. While chemical weapons have been frequently used in war, no country has...

    Declaration of the Rights of France
    Apr24

    Declaration of the Rights of France

    By Jacob L. Shapiro The first round of voting in France’s presidential election is over, and pre-election polls seem to have predicted the correct outcome. As of this writing, exit polls show Emmanuel Macron won 23.7 percent of the vote, while Marine Le Pen received 21.7 percent. The two candidates will now go head-to-head in a May 7...

    Assessing Turkey’s Power in the Balkans
    Apr20

    Assessing Turkey’s Power in the Balkans

    Summary This report examines Turkey’s interests in the Balkans and the resources the country has at its disposal to pursue those interests. The report focuses on three main areas: economic relationships, investment and religious influence. We conclude that while Turkey has an interest in projecting power into the Balkans, its tools for...

    Russia, Belarus and a Catch-22
    Apr13

    Russia, Belarus and a Catch-22

    By Antonia Colibasanu Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday that Moscow will “do its best” to prevent any destabilization that could cause a color revolution in Russia and its buffer zone in Eastern Europe. Putin’s remarks come after the media reported that Russian nationals were arrested in Belarus for taking part in...

    Propaganda and Challenges to the Russian Regime
    Apr04

    Propaganda and Challenges to the Russian Regime

    By Xander Snyder A bomb was detonated on a Russian subway train Monday afternoon, killing at least 11 people and injuring dozens. As of this writing, no one has claimed responsibility for the attack. The impact on President Vladimir Putin’s government will heavily depend on who orchestrated the bombing. If it was a Chechen group, for...

    Watch List Findings: April 1, 2017
    Apr01

    Watch List Findings: April 1, 2017

    What follows are the preliminary findings for issues identified in the daily Watch Lists this week. We are only sending findings that we regard as significant or potentially significant to keep this email manageable. We have findings for all the Watch List items. Should you be interested in findings not listed here, please contact us and we will...

    Watch List: March 29, 2017
    Mar29

    Watch List: March 29, 2017

    The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance. Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our...

    What Past Empires Tell Us About the Future
    Mar27

    What Past Empires Tell Us About the Future

    Originally produced on March 20, 2017 for Mauldin Economics, LLC By George Friedman and Jacob L. Shapiro Spanish essayist George Santayana once wrote, “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it,” but there is a problem with this famous and witty line. Studying history has little practical utility in averting past outcomes. We...

    Russia’s 2018 Presidential Election
    Mar09

    Russia’s 2018 Presidential Election

    Summary At this time next year, Russia will hold its presidential election. In the lead-up to these elections, the Russian economy will continue on its current negative trajectory. At the same time, President Vladimir Putin, who is not as strong as he outwardly appears, will pursue more security and institutional measures to consolidate his...

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